Theresa May and the Conservative Party leadership confidence motion of 2018: analysing the voting behaviour of Conservative Parliamentarians
Unlike previous contests, in the 2018 Conservative leadership election non-ideological considerations were not statistically significant in terms of explaining voting behaviour – we show what was.
How to lose votes and alienate people: An examination of the causes of Conservative decline in Liverpool since 1945
This thesis is an examination of the causes of Conservative electoral decline in Liverpool, from the end of World War Two to the present day, which counters the traditional argument that declining sectarianism, or the premiership of Margaret Thatcher, are the root causes of Conservative decline in Liverpool.
The British Labour Party and leadership election mandate(s) of Jeremy Corbyn: patterns of opinion and opposition within the parliamentary Labour Party
The drive to unseat Corbyn was a crisis of leadership as much as it was an ideological conflict – why else would so many of the supposedly loyalist Corbyn faction have voted for his removal?
The UK government and the 0.7% international aid target: Opinion among Conservative parliamentarians
This article represents a quantitative challenge to the prevalent qualitative assumption in the academic literature, which claims Cameron’s modernisation project was a failure.
The Conservative Party Leadership Election of 2016: An Analysis of the Voting Motivations of Conservative Parliamentarians
May’s support was drawn from those who backed Remain in the referendum, whilst Leadsom and Gove both drew support from Brexiteers; Leadsom from socially conservative members of the PCP, and Gove from the socially liberal wing.
The United Kingdom Referendum on European Union Membership: The Voting of Conservative Parliamentarians
There was a wider ideological dimension within the parliamentary Conservative Party to advocating Brexit – social conservatives were more likely to advocate Brexit than social liberals.
Whilst popular opinion ascribes Conservative decline in Liverpool to Margaret Thatcher, Conservative Prime Minister from 1979 to 1990, it began a decade before Thatcher gained power.
This is the recording of my keynote talk at the Thatcher Network’s ‘Thatcherism Now’ conference, held at the University of Liverpool in April 2018.